Thursday, 15 March 2012
Amlan Roy (1) demographics: the G6 and the Netherlands
There are lots of differences in the demographics of the western countries. You have the hopeless cases of Japan, Germany and Italy where the fertility rate keeps decling to the no sex please levels, the population declines and where the young can expect to pay at least 78% taxes in some years when the promises of retirement income care etc. remain the same (what of course will not be possible).
The US scores best in all categories, then the UK, France and the Netherlands. The countries with rising fertility rates are not necessarily doomed.
But according to Amlan Roy it is completely clear that the Eurozone is doomed to disintegrate because the demographics of some countries are unsustainable. Greece ranks number 1 in demographic unsustainability: it is an illusion that Greece will pay somewhat back of the new € 130B help. Also Italy, Germany and and even France will have big problems to pay for pensions, healthcare and other care.
So the Netherlands have to leave the Eurozone as soon as possible and must join the UK in a pound zone.